Estimated burden of illness attributable to pandemic influenza over the entire pandemic based on a 25% clinical attack rate and illustrative case hopitalisation and case-fatality rates of 0.55% and 0.37% respectively
| Population | People with clinical symptoms/Health Care Contacts | GP consultations | A&E presentations | Minimum excess hospitalisations | Minimum excess deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health Care Contacts represent the equivalent of GP consultations outside the pandemic period. It is envisaged that individuals experiencing symptoms will be diverted away from GPs in a pandemic. General practitioner consultations represent the remaining contacts required to deal with complications and with young children (see text for explanation). Figures are rounded and represent work additional to normal background health service activity. (Figures in parentheses illustrate the range from 10% (lower limit) to 50% (upper limit) attack rates.) | |||||
| Population of 1000 | 250 (100–500) | 25 (10–50) | 13 (5–25) | 1 (0–3) | 1 (0–2) |
| Population of 100,000 | 25,000 (10,000–50,000) | 2500 (1000–5000) | 1250 (500–2500) | 140 (50–300) | 90 (40–180) |